Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1 | $0.830 | $0.94 | +$0.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 0.92 | $0.985 | $0.91 | Jul 2, 2026 |
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| No |
| 0.91 |
| $0.989 |
| $0.91 |
| +$0.01 |
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 0.88 | $0.975 | $0.88 | +$0.02 |
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 0.87 | $0.992 | $0.86 | +$0 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 0.86 | $0.992 | $0.86 | +$0.01 |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 0.86 | $0.960 | $0.86 | +$0.03 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | Yes | 0.98 | $0.390 | $0.84 | +$0.46 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.92 | $0.758 | $0.84 | +$0.14 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 0.85 | $0.938 | $0.78 | -$0.01 |
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 0.78 | $0.990 | $0.78 | +$0.01 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 0.77 | $0.985 | $0.76 | -$0 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 0.79 | $0.731 | $0.75 | +$0.18 |
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 0.74 | $0.992 | $0.73 | +$0 |
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | No | 0.8 | $0.494 | $0.69 | +$0.29 |
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | No | 0.86 | $0.609 | $0.69 | +$0.16 |
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | No | 0.71 | $0.842 | $0.67 | +$0.07 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 0.71 | $0.624 | $0.67 | +$0.23 |
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 0.67 | $0.987 | $0.67 | +$0.01 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 0.67 | $0.969 | $0.64 | -$0 |
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 0.64 | $0.991 | $0.64 | +$0.01 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 0.76 | $0.953 | $0.64 | -$0.09 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 0.69 | $0.828 | $0.63 | +$0.06 |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 0.65 | $0.951 | $0.62 | +$0 |
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 0.62 | $0.986 | $0.62 | +$0.01 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 0.65 | $0.964 | $0.61 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 0.94 |
| $0.977 |
| $0.92 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 0.93 | $0.991 | $0.92 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 0.97 | $0.984 | $0.95 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.005 | $0.01 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.204 | $0.2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.155 | $0.16 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.006 | $0.01 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.006 | $0.01 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.004 | $0.01 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.006 | $0.01 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.006 | $0.01 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.016 | $0.03 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.002 | $0 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.130 | $0.26 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.010 | $0.02 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.009 | $0.02 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.015 | $0.03 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.007 | $0.03 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will BP be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.073 | $0.37 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 0.99 | $0.985 | $0.98 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 4.89 | $0.200 | $0.98 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.380 | $1.12 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.999 | $1.22 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5.97 | $0.200 | $1.19 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.53 | $0.840 | $1.29 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 5.75 | $0.238 | $1.37 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.976 | $1.45 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 1.55 | $0.986 | $1.53 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | sell | 3.15 | $0.507 | $1.6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 2.28 | $0.746 | $1.7 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 2.07 | $0.859 | $1.78 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | sell | 2.59 | $0.747 | $1.93 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 2 | $0.987 | $1.97 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No | sell | 2 | $0.987 | $1.97 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2 | $0.990 | $1.98 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 1.98 | $0.999 | $1.98 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 2 | $0.993 | $1.99 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.993 | $1.99 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 2 | $0.993 | $1.99 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 2 | $0.993 | $1.99 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2 | $0.994 | $1.99 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 1.99 | $0.999 | $1.99 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 2.08 | $0.999 | $2.08 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.3 | $0.991 | $2.28 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 2.44 | $0.990 | $2.42 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 4.17 | $0.610 | $2.54 | Jun 1, 2026 |