Analytics
Yes is at 67.5%, up 13 points from 54.5% when the market opened on 19 Jul 2025.
Across the 442 daily closes on record from 19 Jul 2025 to 6 Nov 2026 (34 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 67.5% on 6 Nov 2026 and the lowest 52.5% on 5 Nov 2025. A week before that last close Yes was at 64.5%; a month before, 64.5%. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 66.5% on 14 Sep 2026.
Democratic is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?”, ahead of Republican at 32.5%.
$30.77K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.37M since listing. The order book holds $364.98K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $127.24K bought Yes and $11.43K bought No; the largest was a $24.26K buy of Yes at 66.8¢.
The largest Yes position is loganx with 72.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 125.4K. Ten wallets hold 68.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 442 points, 19 Jul 2025 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 45%–75%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2025 | 54.5% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 67.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 125.4K |
| ndb1 | No | 74.83K |
| loganx | Yes | 72.27K |
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-party-wins-2028-us-presidential-election
| rhmaxi |
| Yes |
| 37.05K |
| alwayssaytrue | Yes | 36.35K |
| Swift Maven 1848 | No | 27.78K |
| m4rius | Yes | 22.78K |
| Monopoly_Money | No | 20.1K |
| pegfault | Yes | 18.89K |
| Cosmic Oracle AEEA | No | 13.12K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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