Latest trade
Mar 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 1:46 AM UTC.
Analytics
pegfault is down $9.89K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 44 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-30 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 1:46 AM UTC.
$47.57 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 5 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Jan 12, 2026 UTC to Mar 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 15K | $0.960 | $14.02K | -$375.36 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 6.82K | $0.944 | $6.43K | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-30 15:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 01:46 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 01:46 UTC
polymarket positions
45 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-30 15:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $14.86K and losing ones cost $5.02K across 44 settled positions. 79.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.18K on “Biden drops out of presidential race?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.97K on “Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Mar 2026. It has traded 73 markets. Its open positions are worth $47.87K across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 18.89K |
| $0.540 |
| $12.37K |
| +$2.17K |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 6.29K | $0.957 | $6.16K | +$150.76 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 14.89K | $0.587 | $5.76K | -$2.97K |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5K | $0.966 | $4.92K | +$86.86 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 5K | $0.690 | $3.78K | +$325.12 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5K | $0.150 | $857.5 | +$107.5 |
| buy |
| 665.01 |
| $0.944 |
| $627.77 |
| Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 6.99K | $0.944 | $6.6K | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 232.59 | $0.944 | $219.56 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 35.25 | $0.944 | $33.28 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.944 | $0.99 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 21.09 | $0.944 | $19.91 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.944 | $0.99 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.944 | $70.8 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.944 | $59.47 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 96.82 | $0.944 | $91.4 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.690 | $3.45K | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | buy | 11.72K | $0.989 | $11.59K | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?No | buy | 98.21 | $0.800 | $78.57 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?No | buy | 300 | $0.800 | $240 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.800 | $4.02 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?No | buy | 30 | $0.800 | $24 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?No | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?No | buy | 400 | $0.820 | $328 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?No | buy | 36.77 | $0.800 | $29.42 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 25 | $0.960 | $24 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 120.24 | $0.960 | $115.43 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 63.29 | $0.960 | $60.76 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 20.67 | $0.960 | $19.84 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 68.25 | $0.960 | $65.52 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 13.44 | $0.960 | $12.9 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 65.34 | $0.960 | $62.73 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 53.51 | $0.960 | $51.37 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 27.05 | $0.960 | $25.97 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 25.93 | $0.960 | $24.89 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.960 | $10.91 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 23.78 | $0.960 | $22.83 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 45.59 | $0.960 | $43.77 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 30.02 | $0.960 | $28.82 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 224.41 | $0.960 | $215.43 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 14.47 | $0.960 | $13.89 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 60.28 | $0.960 | $57.87 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 53.54 | $0.960 | $51.4 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 28.43 | $0.960 | $27.29 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 161.38 | $0.960 | $154.92 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 21.59 | $0.960 | $20.73 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 61.13 | $0.960 | $58.68 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 29.01 | $0.960 | $27.85 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 28.95 | $0.960 | $27.79 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 32.04 | $0.960 | $30.76 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 26.88 | $0.960 | $25.8 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 103.01 | $0.960 | $98.89 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.