Analytics
Yes is at 47.5%, up 4 points from 43.5% when the market opened on 17 Dec 2025.
Across the 289 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 29 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 65% on 2 Jun 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 1 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 40.5%; a month before, 33.5%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 39% on 3 Jun 2026.
Mitchell Berman (D) ranks second of the 2 outcomes in “WI-01 House Election Winner”. Bryan Steil (R) leads at 52.5%.
$611.14 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $14.68K since listing. The order book holds $79.78K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 355 trades, $1.76K bought Yes and $3.04K bought No.
The largest Yes position is SitsToPee with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.6K. Ten wallets hold 77.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 289 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 43.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 47.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.63K |
| SitsToPee | Yes | 1.17K |
| BigRabbit | Yes | 999.98 |
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wi-01-house-election-winner
| Hyperlong |
| No |
| 510.32 |
| RadioCCOD | Yes | 426.54 |
| Loyalty-Crash | Yes | 408.32 |
| angine | No | 400.02 |
| Keparo | Yes | 259.99 |
| anoin123 | No | 213 |
| Golden Scout 9BEB | Yes | 183.47 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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