Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Jul 2026.
$7.8K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 12:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 2 Jul 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 54.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Royal Harbor 217A | No | 672 |
| TeenagePanda | No | 116.66 |
| ganjubas22 | No | 41.65 |
| acc32 | No | 33.33 |
| Scaly-Arena | No | 25 |
| Mojito9 | No | 10 |
| Wordy-Doctrine | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Roman Catholic Church either announces the excommunication of any individual or group of individuals or confirms it has already done so in 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information from Pope Leo XIV, official information from the Catholic Church, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-catholic-church-publicly-excommunicate-anyone-in-2026-20260630195252800
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