Analytics
Yes is at 33%, down 17 points from 50% when the market opened on 14 Jul 2026.
Across the 104 daily closes on record from 14 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 26 Sep 2026 and the lowest 8% on 18 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 34.5%; a month before, 23.5%. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 49.5% on 22 Jul 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?”.
$1.77K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.24K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 49 trades, $153.7 bought Yes and $549.72 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 137 shares; the largest No position is PaddyAlpha with 343.
Trading closes on 1 Aug 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 5:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 104 points, 14 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 33.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PaddyAlpha | No | 343.38 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 137.34 |
| BASSATS01 | Yes | 58.23 |
If the Bayeux Tapestry enters France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, entrance is defined as any portion of the Bayeux Tapestry physically entering the terrestrial territory of France. Whether or not it enters French airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. This market will remain open for seven days after the specified date to allow time for confirmation of the Tapestry's entrance into France. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bayeux-tapestry-back-in-france-by-20260713162010340
| Malganis |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| Bsau4 | Yes | 49.72 |
| pppnn | Yes | 40 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 29.67 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 20 |
| jules...D | No | 1.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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