Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 30 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 99 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 8 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 30 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 7 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 25.5% on 31 Dec 2025. $21K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 9, 2:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 99 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 8 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 49.5% |
| 8 Apr 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.29K |
| steamrolling | Yes | 2K |
| hseoracle | Yes | 555.52 |
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-april
| Yes |
| 546.41 |
| Ardtysrt01 | Yes | 359.51 |
| Steel-Bullet | Yes | 314.91 |
| haruk098 | Yes | 235 |
| Juche | Yes | 153.25 |
| wtfsss | Yes | 110 |
| nryy | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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