Analytics
Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election?
politicsActive
Closes Apr 19, 2027 UTC
Yes
1.9%
No
98.2%
Yes costs 1.85¢No costs 98.15¢
24h Volume
$137.6K
Total volume
$956.1K
Liquidity
$275.1K
Closes
Apr 19, 2027 UTC
Topic roomFrench Election 2027World elections
Where it stands
Yes is at 1.8%, about where the market opened on 10 Nov 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 10 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 2.6% on 11 Nov 2026 and the lowest 1.6% on 12 Nov 2026.
Teddy Riner ranks seventh of the 46 outcomes in “Next French Presidential Election”. Marine Le Pen leads at 47.3%; David Lisnard is at 17.1%.
Across the latest 500 trades, $10.1K bought Yes and $11.98K bought No; the largest was a $8.95K buy of No at 98.2¢.
Ten wallets hold 84.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 19 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:09 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 10 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Nov 2026 | 2.3% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 1.8% |
All outcomes
Next French Presidential Election
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 1.81M |
| Remote-Testing | Yes | 900.73K |
| Dishonest-Cop | Yes | 100.45K |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on a consensus of credible reporting. Sources named in the rules: interieur.gouv.fr. Trading closes on 19 Apr 2027.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
- French Election 2027 oddsWho will win the 2027 French presidential election?
- World elections oddsWhat do prediction markets say about the next national elections?
What to watch in French Election 2027
- Eligibility rulings, which can remove a leading name from the ballot before a vote is cast
- Which candidate each bloc settles on: the centre, the mainstream right and the left have each split before
- First-round polling, and second-round hypotheticals against each likely opponent