Analytics
Yes is at 11.9%, down 28 points from 40% when the market opened on 15 Jan 2026.
Across the 259 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (30 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 41.1% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 26 Apr 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 20.2%; a month before, 4.1%. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 41.1% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 9 markets under “Strava IPO Closing Market Cap”.
$1.47K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $336.84, with a 21.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 84 trades, $6.22 bought Yes and $715.08 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 218 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 784. Ten wallets hold 92.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 259 points, 15 Jan 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | 40.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 11.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 784.33 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 218.32 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 158.32 |
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/strava-ipo-closing-market-cap
| Biver52 | Yes | 82.25 |
| flexer78 | Yes | 56.64 |
| tweetmaster | Yes | 39 |
| aHjCz | Yes | 38.18 |
| Neon Scout D064 | Yes | 33.44 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 25 |
| PPMT | Yes | 20.66 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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