Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 49% on 27 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 51 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2025 to 16 Aug 2025, the highest close was 67.5% on 22 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 59.5% on 30 Jun 2025. $22.38K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 17, 12:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 27 Jun 2025 – 16 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2025 | 49.0% |
| 16 Aug 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MoRo | Yes | 2K |
| Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc | Yes | 1.44K |
| rafal0077 | Yes | 483.81 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dwC9sr6GEUk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-10
| Yes |
| 455.52 |
| lissartter | Yes | 261.1 |
| travellier | Yes | 184.98 |
| onekeyone | Yes | 70.63 |
| ai.home | Yes | 67.94 |
| sGB | Yes | 60 |
| Pwasson | Yes | 10.42 |
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