Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon tweet between 500 and 519 times September 5–12?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 11.11 |
| $0.041 |
| $0.45 |
| Sep 7, 2025 |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy booster?Yes | buy | 77.69 | $0.013 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.016 | $0.94 | Aug 18, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.220 | $0.84 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $126K on August 18?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?No | sell | 3.7 | $0.520 | $1.92 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 15?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.017 | $1 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Trump Mobile smartphone released before September?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Aug 9, 2025 |
2025 August hottest on record?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.099 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Pope Leo in August?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.199 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above by September 30?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.74 | $0.053 | $2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before September?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | buy | 43.51 | $0.069 | $3 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Ethereum outperforms Bitcoin on July 31?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy hold 650k+ BTC by August 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?Yes | buy | 93.64 | $0.011 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Megaquake before August?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.998 | $22.18 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 23.77 | $0.042 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Megaquake before August?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 4–11?Yes | buy | 162 | $0.006 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 4–11?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |