Analytics
Yes is at 4%, down 1 point from 5% when the market opened on 6 Aug 2026.
Across the 83 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 15.1% on 17 Aug 2026 and the lowest 3% on 10 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.1%; a month before, 6%. Its largest one-day move was 9.6 points down, to 3% on 10 Aug 2026.
It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: Team to Make National Championship”.
$570.4 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.66K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is thecaricature with 300 shares; the largest No position is Violet Maven 063C with 157.
Trading closes on 9 Feb 2027, 102 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 83 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 5.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 4.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thecaricature | Yes | 299.97 |
| Violet Maven 063C | No | 157.45 |
| Spectrum | No | 100.37 |
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team plays in the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game" refers to the title game concluding the College Football Playoff for the 2026 college football season, scheduled to be played in January 2027. A team counts as making the game if it is one of the two teams that competes in it. If the College Football Playoff National Championship Game is canceled or not played by February 8, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-team-to-make-national-championship-20260804160450277
37 more markets, none above 7.0%.
| macrosteaks |
| No |
| 47.99 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 40 |
| ABC12345654321 | No | 39.99 |
| Elastic-Banquette | Yes | 5.83 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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