What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Silver on 24 Jan 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Silver” if Silver hits 100 before Bitcoin hits 100k by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Bitcoin” if Bitcoin hits 100k before Silver hits 100 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Silver will be considered to hit 100 if any Yahoo Finance 1-minute candle for the front month for Comex Silver futures (SI=F) has a final "High" price equal to or above 100. The front month for Comex Silver futures at a given time will be the specific Silver futures contract shown on Yahoo Finance at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SI=F/ at that time. If the…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

109 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jan 25, 8:21 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-silver-hit-100-or-bitcoin-hit-100k-first) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Silver: Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?

Market referencewill-silver-hit-100-or-bitcoin-hit-100k-firstUpdated Jan 25, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Silver · settled Jan 24, 2026 UTC

Silver

100.0%

Bitcoin

0.0%

Final Silver 100¢Final Bitcoin 0¢

Lifetime volume

$169.1K

Resolved

Silver

Settled

Jan 24, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Jan 25, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Jan 25, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Silver

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

109

Wallets

109

Top 10 share

68%

Yes / No shares

193.52 / 18.83K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

294

Loaded notional

$54.05K

Silver sell at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Jan 24, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

+66 pts

Range

33.5% - 100.0%

Jan 17, 12:00 AM UTC to Jan 24, 12:00 AM UTC

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
louie088	Bitcoin	4.52K	1.1%	$4.52K	Jan 23, 6:21 PM UTC
Misty Ledger 1C47	Bitcoin	1.5K	0.1%

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Silver on 24 Jan 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to “Silver” if Silver hits 100 before Bitcoin hits 100k by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Bitcoin” if Bitcoin hits 100k before Silver hits 100 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Silver will be considered to hit 100 if any Yahoo Finance 1-minute candle for the front month for Comex Silver futures (SI=F) has a final "High" price equal to or above 100. The front month for Comex Silver futures at a given time will be the specific Silver futures contract shown on Yahoo Finance at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SI=F/ at that time. If the…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

louie088

Bitcoin

4.52K

1.1%

$4.52K

Jan 23, 6:21 PM UTC

Misty Ledger 1C47

Bitcoin

1.5K

0.1%

Trader	Current holding value
swole2026	$147.06
cyb3rops	$39.23
Unique-Midwife	$6.17
zxc1	$1.05
louie088	$0
Misty Ledger 1C47	$0
johnlarx	$0
Coral Oracle 17A3	$0
Diligent-Strawberry	$0
Inconsequential-Spinach	$0
Bright Summit 441D	$0
CrumbHedging666	$0