Analytics
Yes is at 20.5%, down 33 points from 53.5% when the market opened on 18 Jun 2026.
Across the 127 daily closes on record from 18 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53.5% on 18 Jun 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 23 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 30%; a month before, 8.5%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 25% on 29 Jun 2026.
$1.38K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $460.64, with a 19.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 30 trades, $77.69 bought Yes and $356.47 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 451 shares; the largest No position is Crimson Scout DF5C with 600. Ten wallets hold 94.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 127 points, 18 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jun 2026 | 53.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 20.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crimson Scout DF5C | No | 600 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 451.45 |
| Brown-Shipyard | No | 163.5 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Samuel García ceases to be the Governor of Nuevo León, Mexico, for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Samuel García’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Samuel García and the government of Nuevo León; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/garcia-out-as-governor-of-nuevo-leon-by-20260616210708807
| TradingToRaiseMoneyForLocalLLMServer | Yes | 155.6 |
| Perypery | Yes | 120 |
| Somber-Phrase | No | 107.73 |
| Leclerc04 | Yes | 60.14 |
| Jade Kestrel 88CD | No | 53.93 |
| Nadmi | Yes | 38.91 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 29.87 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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