Analytics
Yes is at 79%, up 42 points from 37.5% when the market opened on 6 Aug 2026.
Across the 82 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 87% on 5 Sep 2026 and the lowest 14% on 10 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 83.5%; a month before, 81.5%. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 76.5% on 14 Aug 2026.
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera is the favourite of the 22 outcomes in “Colima Governor Election Winner”, ahead of Margarita Moreno González at 9.7%.
$60.68 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $26.8K since listing. The order book holds $12.45K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 433 trades, $6.25K bought Yes and $2.07K bought No.
The largest Yes position is FrozenParasite with 6.7K shares; the largest No position is balabalababalabala with 5.6K. Ten wallets hold 95.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Jun 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 37.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 79.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 6.68K |
| balabalababalabala | No | 5.6K |
| Crimson Scout DF5C | Yes | 920 |
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/colima-governor-election-winner-20260803170329
10 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 875.54 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | No | 379.4 |
| BikesAreTheBikes | No | 256.78 |
| HerrieDavis | No | 183 |
| Silver Ledger 220B | Yes | 157.18 |
| runechiters | No | 151.04 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 147.59 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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