Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.7%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 26 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50% on 31 Jul 2026 and the lowest 3% on 4 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 50% on 31 Jul 2026. $1.34K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 27, 10:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 26 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 25.5% |
| 26 Aug 2026 | 7.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 519.84 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 100 |
| Ersicolus | Yes | 50 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 40.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2, currently scheduled for July 20, 2026 to September 14, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/circuito-desafiante-2026-split-2-winner-20260727190345048
New to prediction markets?
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 40 |
| FB87dB8 | Yes | 40 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 21 |
| Anjun | Yes | 20 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
| hitunfar | Yes | 18.99 |
