What is the “Will Republicans win young men in the midterms?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Republicans win young men in the midterms? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Which party will win young men in the midterms?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 15.5¢ and No at 84.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 15.5% for Yes and 84.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 7, 2026 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($220) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($12.79K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 16 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 95.1% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 3, 2:22 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-young-men-in-the-midterms) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will Republicans win young men in the midterms? Odds

Market referencewill-republicans-win-young-men-in-the-midtermsUpdated just now

politicsActive

Closes Nov 7, 2026 UTCpollingmidterms

Yes

15.5%

84.5%

Buy Yes 15.5¢Buy No 84.5¢

24h Volume

$220

Liquidity

$12.8K

Closes

Nov 7, 2026 UTC

Yes price

15.5¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

15.5%

84.5%

24h volume

$220

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 15.5¢

Open in terminal$220 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

just now

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

3.0%

Observed

just now

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

15.5%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

95%

Yes / No shares

628.36 / 628.35

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

TradesRecent market trade tape linked back into trader pages.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
DuneMentat	buy	Yes	11.0%	200	Oct 3, 4:34 AM UTC
Miaomi666	buy	Yes

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

Topic room

Every related market on one live board

2026 US Midterms oddsWho will control Congress after the 2026 midterms?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Republicans win young men in the midterms?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Republicans win young men in the midterms? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Which party will win young men in the midterms?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 15.5¢ and No at 84.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 15.5% for Yes and 84.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 7, 2026 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($220) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($12.79K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Side

Outcome

Price

Time

DuneMentat

buy

Yes

11.0%

200

Oct 3, 4:34 AM UTC

Miaomi666

buy

Yes