Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?

Name: Will Raymond Burke be the next pope? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No, settled May 8, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.1M

Resolved

Settled

May 8, 2025 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	978.41K	0.0%	$0
BB28	Yes	43.51K	0.8%	$358.18
luzzylover	Yes	14.79K	0.7%	$99.99
Nadpab	Yes	12.28K	0.8%	$102.85
Bufalo037	Yes	10K	0.8%	$80
jcdenton22	Yes	8.57K	2.3%	$199.79
Rafana81	Yes	7.61K	1.8%	$138
MMQ213	Yes	7.19K	1.1%	$76.93
ipantu	Yes	7.08K	1.4%	$100
mrgoldrobe	Yes	6.74K	1.1%	$76.15
Mor11	Yes	6.69K	0.8%	$53.37
doserdar	Yes	6K	0.6%	$36
Takashisensei21	Yes	5.99K	1.1%	$69
francysuri	Yes	5.8K	1.8%	$103.23
lgasco	Yes	4.59K	0.5%	$25
Leoramortiz27	Yes	4.38K	0.8%	$34.99
BabyYoda12	Yes	4.3K	0.3%	$13.5
Vitan	Yes	4.05K	5.7%	$229.81
Vrios	Yes	3.88K	0.8%	$31
Speedy.	Yes	3.64K	1.1%	$40.01
lo01100111	Yes	3.53K	0.9%	$31.66
Envious-Fir	Yes	3.27K	1.5%	$49
Alexismora26	Yes	3.25K	0.9%	$29
dazlo3500	Yes	3.23K	1.7%	$54.44
doromb	Yes	3.09K	1.6%	$50
Degenwhale	Yes	3.07K	0.7%	$22.31
lucasandrevr	Yes	2.96K	0.7%	$20
andrekerr	Yes	2.86K	0.7%	$20
DegenWhale-767	Yes	2.49K	0.8%	$19.41
GreatRacoon	Yes	2.33K	1.1%	$25
hunterpwn	Yes	2.2K	1.3%	$28
AlexCripto	Yes	2.1K	0.9%	$20
santhigareda	Yes	2.03K	0.6%	$12.41
IreMax22	Yes	2.01K	1.0%	$20
Siziriv	Yes	2K	1.8%	$35.77	May 8, 4:54 PM UTC
MarceloRoman	Yes	1.94K	1.5%	$29
Edacalt	Yes	1.8K	0.6%	$10.8
DonTed07	Yes	1.77K	0.6%	$10.6
Ferjes9	Yes	1.72K	1.1%	$19.5
Drg19	Yes	1.71K	1.0%	$17
J.dalez	Yes	1.68K	0.7%	$11.9
Criki	Yes	1.67K	0.6%	$10
cryBabyy	Yes	1.64K	0.7%	$11.71
RRRPPPLLL	Yes	1.58K	0.8%	$13
victorccast	Yes	1.49K	0.7%	$10.46
mcnugget14	Yes	1.44K	1.4%	$20
5l1ck	Yes	1.42K	3.7%	$52
Vandig	Yes	1.42K	1.0%	$14.15
Heri16	Yes	1.38K	0.8%	$11
TwinFangs	Yes	1.37K	1.5%	$20
Balbo.bitmap	Yes	1.32K	2.2%	$29.43
Frank.eth	Yes	1.25K	0.8%	$9.57
scalpemall	Yes	1.14K	0.9%	$10
Luce1111	Yes	1.11K	0.9%	$10
Careful-Subject	Yes	1.11K	0.9%	$10
Bch312	Yes	1.04K	0.8%	$8.19
LaFlur	Yes	1.03K	1.3%	$13.02
Saulf2	Yes	1K	0.9%	$9
Arcazarrrr	Yes	1K	1.7%	$17
abfdin	Yes	999.97	0.1%	$1
Jovins5	Yes	918.18	1.1%	$10
MM5050	Yes	880.26	1.3%	$11.85
NIGNIGNIGNIGNIGNININGGNIGNIG	Yes	833.33	0.6%	$5
amalgamator	Yes	791.43	0.7%	$5.54
Walkito	Yes	758.07	1.4%	$10.88
HugeSilver	Yes	750	0.6%	$4.65
Edoardosto	Yes	714.29	1.4%	$10
CobaltLaw21	Yes	620.46	1.6%	$10
Juanpp	Yes	555.56	0.9%	$5
tacas	Yes	533	1.3%	$6.87
Mgeronimo	Yes	528.51	0.9%	$5	May 8, 5:04 PM UTC
Mercedesarul	Yes	500	0.8%	$4
ChadWoodstock	Yes	500	2.4%	$12
Selfish-Fender	Yes	466.9	1.1%	$5
bkillfire	Yes	464.52	0.9%	$4
jaskaren	Yes	384.93	0.5%	$2
Schwib31	Yes	384.62	1.3%	$5
Exotic-Cauliflower	Yes	352.14	1.4%	$5
Old-Takeout	Yes	313.76	0.8%	$2.51
amoguss	Yes	301.02	3.3%	$10
Je9digbdndv	Yes	297.92	2.3%	$7
userbett	Yes	291.25	1.4%	$4
RiccardoCR	Yes	285.71	0.7%	$2
robiwankenobi	Yes	263.83	1.1%	$3
odinboy	Yes	263.16	1.9%	$5
ericdob75	Yes	253.68	0.8%	$2
donzy1994	Yes	232.49	2.1%	$5
Telow	Yes	224.21	1.9%	$4.26
Javiruizpi	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
jalarrea	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
BaroneGiallo	Yes	163.98	1.2%	$2
szed	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Ladrenzo	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Rudyb	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Yakiboi	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
sebaboel	Yes	139.47	1.4%	$2
nisfeb	Yes	130.86	7.6%	$10
Alexgi	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
masacapa	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
Chapil	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
niclk	Yes	125	1.6%	$2
benbenbero	Yes	120	0.9%	$1.08
kristofhauser	Yes	117.05	1.7%	$2
Happyhippo99	Yes	115.38	1.3%	$1.5
Cultured-Emphasis	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
Insistent-Autoimmunity	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
Merry-Framework	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
Forceful-Diversity	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
Esteemed-Jungle	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
Stupendous-Paper	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
Thoughtful-Pretzel	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
Sabol	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
siddd	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
PolyDump	Yes	100	0.4%	$0.4
dearchang3l	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
vincepoly	Yes	100	0.9%	$0.94
davidtr	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
Phillerup	Yes	98.37	1.0%	$1
Motomoto	Yes	97	1.0%	$1
rokkoo	Yes	95.83	1.0%	$1
flyonthemoon	Yes	95.24	1.0%	$1	May 8, 5:05 PM UTC
EliGstone	Yes	83.33	1.2%	$1
oskarrix	Yes	76.92	1.3%	$1	May 8, 4:29 PM UTC
JohnnyTenNumbers	Yes	71.75	1.8%	$1.28
Manuelsambuco	Yes	71.43	1.4%	$1
Ivetti19	Yes	66.67	1.5%	$1
Berodi	Yes	66.67	1.5%	$1
pdmirandola	Yes	57.96	8.6%	$5
heavydirtysoul	Yes	55	0.9%	$0.5
guigrego	Yes	25	4.0%	$1
apfelweck	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
tomerso	No	6.12	99.6%	$6.1
yyiQ	No	3.35	98.6%	$3.3
0xmagician	No	1.01	98.6%	$1

134 of 134 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$978.41K
tomerso	$6.12
yyiQ	$3.35

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