Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.013 | $5 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 34.33 |
| $0.029 |
| $1 |
| Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?Yes | buy | 134.62 | $0.074 | $10 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.001 | $0 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 4.04 | $0.460 | $1.86 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will the AFD be part of the next German government?Yes | sell | 84.72 | $0.013 | $1.1 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 125.29 | $0.006 | $0.75 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 23.1 | $0.300 | $6.93 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.330 | $6.93 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 25.73 | $0.206 | $5.3 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.999 | $3.33 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 36.84 | $0.190 | $7 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.900 | $3 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 99.57 | $0.201 | $20 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 3.33K | $0.002 | $6.67 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 21.9 | $0.290 | $6.35 | Jan 12, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 34.33 | $0.291 | $10 | Jan 12, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.003 | $10 | Jan 12, 2025 |