Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 83%. Yes opened at 73.5% on 14 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2026 to 23 Aug 2026, the highest close was 95% on 19 Aug 2026 and the lowest 73.5% on 14 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 84% on 15 Aug 2026. $10.18K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 14 Aug 2026 – 23 Aug 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 73.5% |
| 23 Aug 2026 | 83.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.27K |
| Amber Pioneer 6AF4 | No | 200 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 180 |
| richardd | No | 85.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on which map side — Radiant or Dire — wins more total games across The International 2026 (TI 2026) Dota 2 tournament, held August 13–23, 2026 in Shanghai, China. Each completed game counts as a win for the listed side whose team won that game. All official games played as part of The International 2026 count toward the total, including the group stage (Road to The International), playoff/main event, and any tiebreaker games that produce a result. Games that are not completed — including forfeits, technical remakes that are replayed, or games with no recorded winner — do not count. Regional and open qualifier games played prior to the main tournament do not count. This market will resolve to Radiant if Radiant-side teams win more total games than Dire-side teams across the tournament. It will resolve to Dire if Dire-side teams win more total games than Radiant-side teams. It will resolve to Neither if both sides win an equal number of games. If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that the tournament is not completed and final side-win data is not available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com), using its per-game side (Radiant/Dire) and winner data for The International 2026 event. Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026) and Datdota (https://www.datdota.com) may be used as secondary sources. A consensus of credible reporting or publicly available match data may also be used where the primary source is incomplete.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/the-international-2026-will-radiant-or-dire-have-higher-win-rate-20260811191704245
| fdamian | No | 80 |
| Cobalt Sphinx E21E | No | 60.91 |
| monoclith | No | 50 |
| weez-acee | No | 41 |
| capib | No | 30 |
| gonnakilmyslf | No | 30 |
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