Analytics
Yes is at 6.9%, down 20 points from 26.5% when the market opened on 5 Sep 2026.
Across the 51 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.4% on 20 Sep 2026 and the lowest 6.9% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 24%; a month before, 26.7%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 24.7% on 21 Sep 2026.
6 ranks third of the 6 outcomes in “Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?”. 7 leads at 82.5%; 8+ is at 10.7%.
$38.91K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $44.4K since listing. The order book holds $17.72K, with a 6.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $4.83K bought Yes and $12.34K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Dense-Breadfruit with 6.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 19.1K. Ten wallets hold 75.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Nov 2026, 34 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 5 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 26.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 6.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 19.1K |
| Dense-Breadfruit | Yes | 6.1K |
| Sticky-Closing | No | 4.72K |
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-election-raam-of-seats
| dhadad01 | Yes | 4.47K |
| HolyMoses7VerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 3.35K |
| Shiny-Mark | Yes | 2.57K |
| Jagged-Displacement | Yes | 2.22K |
| SaarGolan | Yes | 1.47K |
| mr.oziVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 1.31K |
| melonmanm | No | 1.24K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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