Analytics
Yes is at 99.7%, up 17 points from 83% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
Across the 47 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.7% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 80.4% on 22 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 96.1%; a month before, 92.7%. Its largest one-day move was 8.8 points down, to 80.4% on 22 Sep 2026.
Ra'am is the favourite of the 4 outcomes in “Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?”, ahead of Reservists and New Economic Party at 6.2%.
$1.49K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.83K since listing. The order book holds $20.88K, with a 0.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 67 trades, $1.69K bought Yes and $27.36 bought No.
The largest Yes position is HolyMoses7 with 674 shares; the largest No position is crossFiter with 422. Ten wallets hold 87.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Nov 2026, 34 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 83.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 99.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HolyMoses7VerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 673.95 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 625.72 |
| crossFiter |
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections
| No |
| 421.62 |
| Arid-Pagoda | No | 256.62 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 217.33 |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 209.99 |
| 2B9S | No | 170 |
| jensond | No | 153.97 |
| Disastrous-Progression | No | 143.91 |
| Haradwaith | No | 75.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
