Analytics
Yes is at 2.4%, down 44 points from 46% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
Across the 48 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 12 Sep 2026 and the lowest 2% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 30.5%; a month before, 48%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 14% on 13 Sep 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?”.
$2.33K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $39.27K since listing. The order book holds $15.85K, with a 3.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 438 trades, $2.73K bought Yes and $12.98K bought No; the largest was a $1.53K buy of No at 89.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Contestable-Parfait with 5.2K shares; the largest No position is BiDiFakePolls with 2.3K. Ten wallets hold 63.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Nov 2026, 32 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 46.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Contestable-Parfait | Yes | 5.18K |
| BiDiFakePolls | No | 2.27K |
| AgricultureSecretary | No | 1.43K |
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections
| jpceia | No | 1.12K |
| macrosteaks | No | 762.71 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 648.78 |
| scrapbook | No | 646 |
| Shpang | Yes | 534.1 |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Yes | 533 |
| AIisme | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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