Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 29.5%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 24 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 24 Apr 2025 to 3 May 2025, the highest close was 44% on 27 Apr 2025 and the lowest 27.5% on 1 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 29% on 30 Apr 2025. $230.94K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 5, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 24 Apr 2025 – 3 May 2025, chart shows 20%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2025 | 34.5% |
| 3 May 2025 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FroyoBaggins | No | 300.8 |
| gandalf | No | 200 |
| bettyboop | No | 194.51 |
| Mattbaines04 | No | 110.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before May 17, 2025, to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Peter Dutton loses his seat in parliament as a result of the next Australian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-peter-dutton-lose-his-seat
| Valdec | No | 100 |
| BoeJidenBets | No | 13.6 |
| Jakey1 | No | 13.39 |
| loinclothchaser | No | 11.11 |
| helmuttrading | No | 11 |
| AlexThompson-519 | No | 10 |
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