Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?No | buy | 13.6 | $0.368 | $5 | May 3, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 13.16 |
| $0.380 |
| $5 |
| May 3, 2025 |
 Will the Greens win 4+ seats in Australian Election?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 58.66 | $0.985 | $57.78 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 12?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by Sunday?Yes | buy | 103.3 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Trump?Yes | buy | 40.92 | $0.049 | $2 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 25 | $0.004 | $0.1 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?Florida | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 25.25 | $0.396 | $10 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris blowout victory?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.120 | $0.92 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris blowout victory?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 5.59 | $0.179 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Georgia be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Wisconsin be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Nevada be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.034 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "tampon" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.055 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Peanut" or "squirrel" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 0.43 | $0.230 | $0.1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Joe Rogan announce he is voting for Trump?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.019 | $0.1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Trump wins a solid blue state?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.190 | $0.5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will the AP call the election on November 7?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Harris wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?Alaska | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.392 | $58.8 | Oct 21, 2024 |
 RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?No | sell | 12.65 | $0.120 | $1.52 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by November 7?No | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Fed rate cut by September 18?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.067 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Bernie Sanders endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?Yes | buy | 29.59 | $0.169 | $5 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.382 | $7.64 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.171 | $1.71 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.075 | $3.75 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 52.08 | $0.048 | $2.5 | Jul 30, 2024 |
 Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 210 | $0.045 | $9.45 | Jul 28, 2024 |
| Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Will J. B. Pritzker be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 820 | $0.003 | $2.46 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Will another man be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.024 | $2.88 | Jul 27, 2024 |