Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 62.27 | $0.160 | $9.96 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.330 |
| $9.9 |
| Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | sell | 24.51 | $0.430 | $10.54 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?No | sell | 9.8 | $0.951 | $9.32 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | buy | 24.51 | $0.430 | $10.54 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?Yes | sell | 9.59 | $0.490 | $4.7 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?Yes | buy | 9.59 | $0.521 | $5 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor minority?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | May 3, 2025 |
| Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor minority?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?No | buy | 10 | $0.962 | $9.62 | May 3, 2025 |
 Fact Check: was Luigi Mangione paid?Yes | buy | 159.17 | $0.024 | $3.82 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 UK civil war in 2024?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.002 | $0.3 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Julian Assange?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.055 | $5 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Trump?Yes | buy | 96.15 | $0.052 | $5 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.400 | $15.38 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.390 | $15 | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "mog" in 2024?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 14.01 | $0.714 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 14.64 | $0.683 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.001 | $0.28 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 213.05 | $0.583 | $124.21 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.608 | $48 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.310 | $4.34 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?Trump | buy | 42.25 | $0.710 | $30 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?Girl | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Biden drops out before the Democratic convention?No | buy | 188.89 | $0.270 | $51 | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Biden drops out before the Democratic convention?No | buy | 80 | $0.270 | $21.6 | Jul 20, 2024 |
 Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 24 | $0.849 | $20.38 | Jul 19, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?No | buy | 150 | $0.140 | $21 | Jul 19, 2024 |