Analytics
Yes is at 41.5%, up 25 points from 16.5% when the market opened on 3 Oct 2026.
Across the 20 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 41.5% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 16% on 6 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 19%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 36.5% on 30 Oct 2026.
PDC is the favourite of the 11 outcomes in “El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place”, ahead of PCN at 21.1%.
$164 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.5K since listing. The order book holds $607.69, with a 31.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 68 trades, $261.28 bought Yes and $543.53 bought No.
The largest Yes position is musicenthusiast with 392 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 550.
Trading closes on 1 Mar 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 5:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 3 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | 16.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 41.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 550.13 |
| musicenthusiast | Yes | 392.22 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 216.17 |
Legislative elections to elect the 60 members of the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador are scheduled to take place on February 28, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by February 29, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. Notwithstanding the above, if candidates from two or more parties run on the same list, each seat won by that list will be counted toward the party to which the elected candidate belongs. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Supreme Electoral Tribunal of El Salvador (https://www.tse.gob.sv/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/el-salvador-legislative-election-3rd-place
| PMWolf | No | 106 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 79.39 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 55.06 |
| SulkingCrypto | No | 26 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 22.6 |
| WarriorH | No | 21 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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