Analytics
Yes is at 0.9%, down 6.2 points from 7% when the market opened on 3 Oct 2026.
Across the 20 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 7% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.9%.
Salvadoran Democracy (DS) ranks 11th of the 11 outcomes in “El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place”. PDC leads at 41.5%; PCN is at 21.1%.
$231.68 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $17.63K, with a 0.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Haradwaith with 300 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 550.
Trading closes on 1 Mar 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 5:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 3 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | 7.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 550.13 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 300 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 144.53 |
Legislative elections to elect the 60 members of the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador are scheduled to take place on February 28, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by February 29, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. Notwithstanding the above, if candidates from two or more parties run on the same list, each seat won by that list will be counted toward the party to which the elected candidate belongs. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Supreme Electoral Tribunal of El Salvador (https://www.tse.gob.sv/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/el-salvador-legislative-election-3rd-place
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 53.47 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 19.4 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 16.34 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 11.4 |
| helic0pter | Yes | 5 |
| balthazar | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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