
Resolved Yes on 7 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 41% on 28 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 28 Aug 2026 to 7 Oct 2026, the highest close was 100% on 7 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.4% on 12 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 66.3% on 29 Sep 2026. $8.82K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 11:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 28 Aug 2026 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2026 | 41.0% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.63K |
| Red781RuM | No | 701.39 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 272.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/quebec-general-election-third-place-20260825152158
| No |
| 200 |
| conherence | No | 194.28 |
| Turbo-J | No | 134.97 |
| IFZ | No | 100 |
| Nautical-Percent | No | 31.01 |
| PPMT | No | 30 |
| a5533 | No | 20.05 |
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