Analytics
Resolved No on 2 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.6%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 51 daily closes on record from 6 Mar 2026 to 2 May 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 36.1% on 14 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 6 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 7.3% on 16 Mar 2026. $31.27K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 2:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 6 Mar 2026 – 2 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 15.5% |
| 2 May 2026 | 4.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.48K |
| mrminerrr | Yes | 638.37 |
| alcoholickittenn | Yes | 592.64 |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/of-seats-won-by-ph-in-colombia-senate-election
| Yes |
| 341.65 |
| Raw-Hybridisation | Yes | 173.21 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 168.01 |
| esetelopez | Yes | 104.53 |
| FemmeInstinct | Yes | 100 |
| megadarkparticle | Yes | 100 |
| Surprised-Biscuit | Yes | 90.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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