Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 5.5K | $0.080 | $412.5 | -$27.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 268.38 |
| $0.770 |
| $202.63 |
| -$4.03 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 163.54 | $0.699 | $151.27 | +$36.95 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 6.5K | $0.140 | $113.75 | -$796.25 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 205.36 | $0.538 | $107.81 | -$2.64 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | 114 | $0.701 | $104.88 | +$24.94 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 205.36 | $0.162 | $95.6 | +$62.31 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | Yes | 210.85 | $0.425 | $80.12 | -$9.61 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 112 | $0.179 | $67.2 | +$47.15 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 120 | $0.170 | $66.6 | +$46.2 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 120 | $0.715 | $52.8 | -$33 |
 Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | Yes | 228.79 | $0.189 | $48.05 | +$4.87 |
 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 90.09 | $0.474 | $47.3 | +$4.6 |
 Will David Choquehuanca be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | Yes | 100 | $0.007 | $38.55 | +$37.87 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 111 | $0.160 | $33.86 | +$16.1 |
| Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | Yes | 233.52 | $0.311 | $31.53 | -$41.2 |
| Will Vuk Jeremić be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | Yes | 75.72 | $0.007 | $27.71 | +$27.18 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 120.09 | $0.387 | $24.02 | -$22.52 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 60 | $0.530 | $15 | -$16.8 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | 114 | $0.235 | $9.69 | -$17.07 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? | Yes | 90 | $0.100 | $8.37 | -$0.63 |
 Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 181.56 | $0.145 | $4.27 | -$22.1 |
 Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.027 | $4 | -$50 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 163.54 | $0.084 | $3.76 | -$9.92 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | Yes | 61.99 | $0.100 | $3.66 | -$2.54 |
| buy |
| 85 |
| $0.380 |
| $32.26 |
| May 19, 2026 |
 Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.040 | $0.38 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points?Yes | buy | 5.3 | $0.090 | $0.48 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.330 | $28.05 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?Yes | buy | 23.8 | $0.160 | $3.81 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 14?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.336 | $28.56 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.280 | $23.8 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.010 | $0.85 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.010 | $0.85 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 10?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 10?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 10?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $420-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.130 | $11.05 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 8?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.180 | $1.44 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 7?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.250 | $21.25 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 8?Yes | buy | 76.01 | $0.200 | $15.2 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.69 | $0.018 | $0.12 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 6?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.260 | $22.1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Palantir (PLTR) close at >$148 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.240 | $20.4 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?Yes | buy | 82.05 | $0.298 | $24.48 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.256 | $21.75 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) close at $275-$280 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.130 | $11.05 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Meta (META) close at <$610 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.370 | $31.45 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.198 | $16.86 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$365 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.170 | $7.14 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 21?Yes | buy | 45.54 | $0.380 | $17.3 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 31m?Yes | buy | 13.92 | $0.377 | $5.24 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 19?Yes | buy | 46.38 | $0.497 | $23.05 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 13?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.260 | $1.63 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 13?Yes | buy | 35.74 | $0.260 | $9.29 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 13?Yes | buy | 4.5 | $0.310 | $1.4 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 13?Yes | buy | 34.71 | $0.236 | $8.19 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 13?Yes | buy | 9.08 | $0.310 | $2.81 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.100 | $4.4 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.100 | $0.6 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?Yes | buy | 25.31 | $0.060 | $1.52 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.120 | $1.8 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Madison Air’s market cap be greater than $13.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.230 | $3.24 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 13?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.130 | $0.74 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 13?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.170 | $1.38 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.44 | $0.289 | $13.41 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 11?Yes | buy | 4.63 | $0.360 | $1.67 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 10?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.430 | $2.25 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 10?Yes | buy | 32.18 | $0.430 | $13.84 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.014 | $0.7 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.19 | $0.298 | $14.04 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Apr 6, 2026 |