Analytics
Yes is at 2.5%, down 42 points from 45% when the market opened on 9 Sep 2026.
Across the 48 daily closes on record from 9 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 20 Sep 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 36%; a month before, 22.5%. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 49% on 20 Sep 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?”.
$5.3 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.46K since listing. The order book holds $10.83K, with a 3.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 77 trades, $82.76 bought Yes and $755.4 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 284 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 856. Ten wallets hold 90.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Nov 2026, 32 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 9 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 45.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 856 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 283.78 |
| nani | Yes | 200 |
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-election-otzma-yehudit-vote-share
| Bold Oracle 5605 |
| Yes |
| 144.94 |
| deepervalue | No | 96 |
| Original-Anything-Petition | Yes | 84.97 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 70 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 50 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 50 |
| thanksforplayin | No | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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