Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 142 | $0.923 | $124.25 | -$6.81 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | 4h ago |
|
| No |
| 182.47 |
| $0.819 |
| $114.5 |
| -$34.97 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 15%-20%? | Yes | 240.87 | $0.004 | $89.84 | +$88.84 |
 Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election? | Yes | 100 | $0.910 | $87.5 | -$3.5 |
 Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County? | Yes | 100 | $0.931 | $78.85 | -$14.25 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 25% or more? | Yes | 215.73 | $0.005 | $73.56 | +$72.56 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 10%-15%? | Yes | 205.75 | $0.005 | $61.93 | +$60.93 |
 Will Centre Party (C) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? | Yes | 100 | $0.500 | $57.5 | +$7.5 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 171.11 | $0.006 | $56.47 | +$55.47 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 5%-10%? | Yes | 201.01 | $0.005 | $43.72 | +$42.72 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 5% or more? | Yes | 161.14 | $0.006 | $39.88 | +$38.88 |
 Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | Yes | 51 | $0.941 | $29.89 | -$18.11 |
 Will Décio Lima win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? | Yes | 356.7 | $0.002 | $13.2 | +$12.48 |
 Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 153.64 | $0.022 | $8.83 | +$5.45 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 0%-5%? | Yes | 259.33 | $0.004 | $4.67 | +$3.67 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 0%-5%? | Yes | 259.83 | $0.004 | $4.16 | +$3.16 |
 Will Liberal–National win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election? | Yes | 685 | $0.004 | $4.11 | +$1.04 |
 Will Adam Lučanský win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election? | Yes | 100 | $0.011 | $3.7 | +$2.63 |
 Will Emilie Orring be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala? | Yes | 56 | $0.025 | $2.72 | +$1.33 |
 Will "Don't Look Down - Rod Wave" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 19? | Yes | 239.99 | $0.017 | $1.56 | -$2.64 |
 Will United Russia win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections? | No | 100 | $0.057 | $1.55 | -$4.1 |
| Will "Ultimate Dolly Parton - Dolly Parton" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 19? | Yes | 401.43 | $0.018 | $1.2 | -$5.99 |
| Will "Wildchild - Alex Warren" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 19? | Yes | 200 | $0.011 | $1.2 | -$1 |
| Will "THE SIN : BLISS - ENHYPEN" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 19? | Yes | 200 | $0.011 | $1.1 | -$1.1 |
 Will Matt Orlando win the 2026 Chandler mayoral election? | No | 21 | $0.130 | $0.97 | -$1.76 |
| sell |
| 11.53 |
| $0.730 |
| $8.42 |
| 5h ago |
| Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?No | sell | 3.45 | $0.250 | $0.86 | 6h ago |
 Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.860 | $43.86 | 6h ago |
| Will Emilie Orring be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.025 | $1.39 | 8h ago |
| Will Adam Lučanský win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.011 | $1.07 | 9h ago |
| Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.740 | $5.69 | 10h ago |
 Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?No | sell | 51 | $0.160 | $8.16 | 11h ago |
| Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 45.26 | $0.100 | $4.53 | 12h ago |
 Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?No | sell | 100 | $0.065 | $6.5 | 13h ago |
| Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | 13h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?No | sell | 222.62 | $0.811 | $180.49 | 13h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?No | sell | 27 | $0.850 | $22.95 | 13h ago |
| Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.870 | $34.8 | 14h ago |
| Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | 1d ago |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.165 | $8.41 | 1d ago |
| Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | 1d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | sell | 51 | $0.863 | $44.03 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia win the next Kursk Oblast Parliament elections?No | sell | 0.34 | $0.017 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | sell | 24.99 | $0.896 | $22.39 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | sell | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | 1d ago |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia win the next Kursk Oblast Parliament elections?No | sell | 50 | $0.031 | $1.55 | 1d ago |
| Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Yes | sell | 121.22 | $0.890 | $107.89 | 1d ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 51 | $0.810 | $41.31 | 1d ago |
 Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 1.36 | $0.092 | $0.13 | 1d ago |
| Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.091 | $3.28 | 1d ago |
 Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?No | sell | 13.89 | $0.070 | $0.97 | 1d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETUp | sell | 9.09 | $0.100 | $0.91 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETUp | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETDown | sell | 1.11 | $0.980 | $1.09 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETDown | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.958 | $19.16 | 2d ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 100 | $0.812 | $81.2 | 2d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?Yes | sell | 21.23 | $0.097 | $2.06 | 2d ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 100 | $0.816 | $81.6 | 2d ago |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in September?No | sell | 23.34 | $0.880 | $20.54 | 2d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No | sell | 21 | $0.939 | $19.72 | 2d ago |
 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.150 | $7.65 | 2d ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?No | sell | 0.7 | $0.063 | $0.04 | 2d ago |
 Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.110 | $13.75 | 2d ago |
 Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?No | sell | 20 | $0.048 | $0.96 | 2d ago |
| Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?No | sell | 10 | $0.049 | $0.49 | 2d ago |
| Will Centre Party (C) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | 2d ago |
 Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?No | sell | 50 | $0.003 | $0.15 | 2d ago |
 Will Yiwarr McGrath win the next Mulka by-election?No | sell | 10 | $0.058 | $0.58 | 2d ago |
| Will Liberal–National win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes | buy | 330 | $0.005 | $1.65 | 3d ago |
| Will Liberal–National win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes | buy | 355 | $0.004 | $1.42 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETUp | sell | 4.65 | $0.320 | $1.49 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 3d ago |