Analytics
Yes is at 43.5%, down 16 points from 59.5% when the market opened on 23 Sep 2026.
Across the 30 daily closes on record from 23 Sep 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 68.5% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 35% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 38%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 38% on 16 Oct 2026.
It is one of 6 markets under “Jumper FDV one day after launch?”.
$461.56 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $11.87K since listing. The order book holds $11.62K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 188 trades, $2K bought Yes and $1.85K bought No.
The largest Yes position is artem.varfo with 1,000 shares; the largest No position is mewmew1 with 929. Ten wallets hold 68.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 2 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 5:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 23 Sep 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2026 | 59.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 43.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| artem.varfo | Yes | 999.99 |
| mewmew1 | No | 929.28 |
| MaxEnt | No | 495.51 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Jumper's token is greater than the listed value at the measurement time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A token is considered launched the first time it is actively and publicly tradable. The measurement time is 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The FDV is the token price at the measurement time multiplied by the token's total supply at that time, which includes tokens that are locked, vested or otherwise non-circulating. For a token issued by a contract, the total supply is the figure recorded by that contract onchain; for the native coin of its own blockchain, it is the figure recorded by that blockchain. Tokens not yet minted or issued at the measurement time are not counted. The FDV is computed without rounding. Only an official token launched by Jumper after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not be considered for resolution. An FDV exactly equal to the listed value will resolve to "No". If Jumper (https://x.com/jumperapp) does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for the token price is the final "Close" price of the 1-minute candle ending at the measurement time, taken from the venue with the highest 24-hour trading volume for the token at the measurement time, as ranked on the token's markets page on CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com); the ranking as displayed at that time governs, regardless of any subsequent revision. Both centralized exchanges and onchain pools qualify as venues; where a venue lists several pairs, the USD or USD-stablecoin pair with the highest 24-hour volume is used. Where the selected venue is an onchain pool, the candle is taken from that pool's page on DexScreener (https://dexscreener.com); where it is an exchange, from that exchange's own chart for the selected pair. If that chart shows no 1-minute candle ending at the measurement time, the last 1-minute candle closing before that time will be used. If CoinGecko does not list the token at the measurement time, the token's most liquid pool as ranked by the "Liquidity" figure on DexScreener will be used instead. If neither source is available at the measurement time, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jumper-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| crobocop |
| Yes |
| 477.66 |
| gab12 | No | 426.47 |
| cosmicleverage | No | 304.59 |
| StarMaster | Yes | 300 |
| newguy666 | Yes | 299.99 |
| nastynian | Yes | 262.77 |
| 0xzipper | No | 223.12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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