Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Resolved

Yes, settled Mar 11, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Mar 11, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 11 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 58.5% on 31 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 31 Jan 2026 to 11 Mar 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 11 Mar 2026 and the lowest 54.5% on 1 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 71.5% on 2 Feb 2026.

16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 31 Jan 2026 – 11 Mar 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
31 Jan 2026	58.5%
11 Mar 2026	100.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
5atka	No	199.99
KARACAC	No	104.36
xiaodouzi	No	100

10 of 16 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any OpenAI GPT model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.