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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 38.46 | $0.130 | $24.04 | +$19.04 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 15.1 |
| $0.390 |
| $12.91 |
| +$7.02 |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat? | Yes | 8.93 | $0.560 | $8.26 | +$3.26 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? | No | 8.79 | $0.569 | $8.13 | +$3.13 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.130 | $7.12 | +$2.12 |
 Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? | No | 7.14 | $0.700 | $6.42 | +$1.42 |
 Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? | No | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5.8 | +$0.8 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | No | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5.58 | +$0.58 |
 Will Trump nationalize elections? | No | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5.38 | +$0.38 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.910 | $4.89 | +$0.34 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026? | No | 7.25 | $0.690 | $4.24 | -$0.76 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 16.13 | $0.310 | $3.15 | -$1.85 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | No | 20 | $0.250 | $1.3 | -$3.7 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? | No | 11.36 | $0.440 | $0.62 | -$4.38 |
| buy |
| 8.79 |
| $0.569 |
| $5 |
| Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 69 | $0.060 | $4.14 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will India join the Board of Peace?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Iran strike on US military by February 28?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Iran strike on US military by February 28?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Kevin Hassett in February?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in February?Yes | buy | 38.35 | $0.130 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?No | buy | 13.75 | $0.364 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?No | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 103.18 | $0.048 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | sell | 45.45 | $0.570 | $25.91 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump nationalize elections?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.58 | $0.321 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?No | sell | 7.57 | $0.690 | $5.22 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.61 | $0.720 | $6.92 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.180 | $2.57 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?Yes | buy | 33.81 | $0.148 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.152 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the Japan Innovation Party win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party for the People win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.038 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.41 | $0.950 | $9.89 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.36 | $0.995 | $11.3 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win 140 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 80.65 | $0.062 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be 60% or higher?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |