Analytics
Yes is at 40.5%, up 12 points from 29% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 22 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 40.5% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 17% on 13 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 24%. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 19.5% on 3 Oct 2026.
It is one of 16 markets under “Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?”.
$2K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $161.15, with a 23.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 51 trades, $101.71 bought Yes and $450.37 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Fihdrzgdd with 120 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 171.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 68 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 9:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 29.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 40.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 170.88 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 120 |
| AJSV | Yes | 61.7 |
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026
4 more markets, none above 1.9%.
| Haradwaith |
| No |
| 51.19 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 49.86 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 45.39 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | 20 |
| cigarettes | No | 20 |
| Carabao | No | 14.81 |
| galhammerman | No | 0.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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