Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 26, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$73.4K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 26, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 26 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 31 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 31 Jan 2026 to 26 Feb 2026, the highest close was 76.5% on 20 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 26 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 39% on 21 Feb 2026. $73.4K traded over the market's life.

59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 27, 4:25 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 31 Jan 2026 – 26 Feb 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
31 Jan 2026	45.5%
26 Feb 2026	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.23K
fjwalnuts	Yes	1.53K
kukiloo	Yes	1.5K

10 of 59 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between February 1 and February 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for February 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of February 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.