Analytics
Will November 2026 CPI MoM be -0.3% or lower?
economyActive
Closes Dec 11, 2026 UTC
Yes
1.2%
No
98.8%
Yes costs 1.2¢No costs 98.8¢
24h Volume
$5
Total volume
$213
Liquidity
$5.8K
Closes
Dec 11, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 1.2%, down 1.3 points from 2.5% when the market opened on 13 Nov 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the price held at 2.8%. The current quote, 1.2%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 2.8% on 14 Nov 2026.
≤-0.3% ranks ninth of the 10 outcomes in “November Inflation US - Monthly”. 0.0% leads at 40.5%; -0.1% is at 25.5%.
Trading closes on 11 Dec 2026, 27 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:09 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 13 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | 2.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 2.8% |
All outcomes
November Inflation US - Monthly
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hartree6 | Yes | 138.44 |
| vntgr | No | 78.44 |
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 61 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm, bls.gov/schedule. Trading closes on 11 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/november-inflation-us-monthly
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports