Analytics
Will November 2026 CPI MoM be -0.1%?
economyActive
Closes Dec 11, 2026 UTC
Yes
25.5%
No
74.5%
Yes costs 25.5¢No costs 74.5¢
24h Volume
$43
Total volume
$103
Liquidity
$1.8K
Closes
Dec 11, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 25.5%, up 9.5 points from 16% when the market opened on 13 Nov 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 22% on 14 Nov 2026 and the lowest 16% on 13 Nov 2026. The current quote, 25.5%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 22% on 14 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 22% on 14 Nov 2026.
-0.1% ranks second of the 10 outcomes in “November Inflation US - Monthly”. 0.0% leads at 40.5%; 0.1% is at 25.5%.
The best bid and the best ask are 5.0% apart, so read the price as a range.
Trading closes on 11 Dec 2026, 27 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:09 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 13 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 14%–24%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | 16.0% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 22.0% |
All outcomes
November Inflation US - Monthly
- 10.0%$1.38K traded40.5%
- 2-0.1%This market$102.89 traded25.5%
- 30.1%$362.03 traded
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 61 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 42.89 |
| shiifoo | Yes | 40 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm, bls.gov/schedule. Trading closes on 11 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/november-inflation-us-monthly
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports