Analytics
Will November 2026 CPI MoM be -0.2%?
economyActive
Closes Dec 11, 2026 UTC
Yes
5.0%
No
95.0%
Yes costs 5¢No costs 95¢
24h Volume
$242
Total volume
$242
Liquidity
$1.7K
Closes
Dec 11, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 5%, down 3 points from 8% when the market opened on 13 Nov 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 8% on 13 Nov 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 14 Nov 2026. The current quote, 5%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 6.5% on 14 Nov 2026.
-0.2% ranks fifth of the 10 outcomes in “November Inflation US - Monthly”. 0.0% leads at 40.5%; -0.1% is at 25.5%.
The best bid and the best ask are 6.0% apart, so read the price as a range.
Trading closes on 11 Dec 2026, 27 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:09 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 13 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 2%–14%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | 8.0% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 6.5% |
All outcomes
November Inflation US - Monthly
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 61 |
| shiifoo | Yes | 40 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 30.77 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm, bls.gov/schedule. Trading closes on 11 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/november-inflation-us-monthly
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports