Analytics
Trading ended on 3 Jun 2026 with Yes at 54.2%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 234 daily closes on record from 10 Feb 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 62.5% on 4 Oct 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 28 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%; a month before, 57.8%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 26.5% on 8 May 2026.
Nithya Raman is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “Los Angeles Mayoral Election”, ahead of Karen Bass at 46%.
$3.24M has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is ScottyNooo with 158.2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 301.8K. Ten wallets hold 57.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 10:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 234 points, 10 Feb 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | 31.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 55.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 301.81K |
| wan123 | No | 245.59K |
| lomneivan | No | 166.64K |
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/los-angeles-mayoral-election-117
| ScottyNooo |
| Yes |
| 158.18K |
| bernardbulletin | Yes | 145.49K |
| anoin123 | No | 134.92K |
| scottilicious | Yes | 110.23K |
| MemeKing20 | No | 108.21K |
| Do-Not-Redeem | Yes | 100.03K |
| rebotsliaf | No | 42.82K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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