
Resolved Yes on 5 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.3%. Yes opened at 70.5% on 15 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 52 daily closes on record from 15 May 2025 to 5 Jul 2025, the highest close was 98% on 1 Jul 2025 and the lowest 66.8% on 11 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 66.8% on 11 Jun 2025. $40.11K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 52 points, 15 May 2025 – 5 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 May 2025 | 70.5% |
| 5 Jul 2025 | 95.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| qqqsss111 | No | 169.92 |
| poets | No | 2.44 |
| arka.parka.leto | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group over what will be present in the next reconciliation bill signed by Donald Trump.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-in-the-next-reconciliation-bill
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 0.02 |
| GaySanta | Yes | 0.02 |
| smurfeta | Yes | 0.02 |
| 30XA | Yes | 0.02 |
| Waklert | Yes | 0.02 |
| twark | Yes | 0.01 |
| SYSY.CN | Yes | 0.01 |