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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 660 | $0.935 | $638.55 | +$21.22 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 660 | $0.935 | $617.33 | May 6, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 308.69 |
| $0.981 |
| $302.82 |
| Feb 4, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 250 | $0.971 | $242.75 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will SOL flip ETH in 2025?No | buy | 37 | $0.978 | $36.19 | Sep 27, 2025 |
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 43 | $0.959 | $41.24 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?No | buy | 26 | $0.960 | $24.96 | Aug 5, 2025 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?No | buy | 15 | $0.999 | $14.99 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?No | sell | 11.14 | $0.958 | $10.67 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Trump create a DOGE dividend in 2025?No | sell | 14.2 | $0.948 | $13.47 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?No | sell | 16.68 | $0.965 | $16.1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?No | sell | 18.42 | $0.946 | $17.42 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.960 | $19.2 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will the Atlanta Braves win the NL East Division?No | sell | 20.01 | $0.964 | $19.29 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% before August?No | sell | 20.01 | $0.973 | $19.47 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Yes | sell | 13.43 | $0.606 | $8.14 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 9.24 | $0.971 | $8.97 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 29.98 | $0.929 | $27.85 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Another Canada election called in 2025?No | sell | 30.41 | $0.950 | $28.9 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Jamal Musiala be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?No | sell | 30 | $0.960 | $28.81 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | sell | 38.29 | $0.917 | $35.12 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?No | sell | 40 | $0.907 | $36.27 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?Yes | sell | 42.23 | $0.905 | $38.23 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before August?No | sell | 40 | $0.964 | $38.56 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 16 | $0.931 | $14.9 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?No | sell | 14.41 | $0.384 | $5.53 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.41 | $0.615 | $8.86 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.954 | $9.53 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base before August?No | sell | 12.09 | $0.978 | $11.82 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.961 | $48.04 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Joao Almeida win the Tour de France 2025?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.970 | $9.69 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| sell | 19.98 | $0.865 | $17.28 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 9.46 | $0.966 | $9.14 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.41 | $0.603 | $8.69 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will CDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?No | sell | 29.99 | $0.904 | $27.11 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will less than 4 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.911 | $9.11 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 42.08 | $0.447 | $18.81 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will CDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?No | sell | 10 | $0.905 | $9.05 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?No | sell | 5.15 | $0.898 | $4.62 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?No | sell | 18.53 | $0.901 | $16.7 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?No | sell | 10 | $0.902 | $9.02 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 21 | $0.712 | $14.95 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 29.99 | $0.951 | $28.52 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?No | sell | 40.8 | $0.726 | $29.62 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.925 | $9.24 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in June?No | sell | 10 | $0.955 | $9.55 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in June?No | sell | 10 | $0.956 | $9.56 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | sell | 29.99 | $0.953 | $28.58 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 9.51 | $0.983 | $9.35 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 41.99 | $0.944 | $39.64 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?Yes | sell | 29.22 | $0.675 | $19.72 | Jul 2, 2025 |