Analytics
Paper trading
Yes is at 1.8%, down 4.7 points from 6.5% when the market opened on 21 Nov 2025.
The high was 14.5% on 30 Jan 2026 and the low 1% on 23 Apr 2026. A week ago Yes was at 1.8%; a month ago, 2.3%. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 4.5% on 14 Feb 2026.
It is one of 71 markets under “Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?”.
$29.57K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.7K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 471 trades, $398.46 bought Yes and $6.52K bought No; the largest was a $2.3K buy of No at 98.4¢.
The largest Yes position is SitsToPee with 3.8K shares; the largest No position is Imperfect-Beetle with 5.1K. Ten wallets hold 82.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 79 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 14, 8:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 298 points, 21 Nov 2025 – 14 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | 6.5% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | 1.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Imperfect-Beetle | No | 5.06K |
| SitsToPee | Yes | 3.83K |
| qo1h9v4d3c6s12vj | Yes | 1.79K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027
58 more markets, none above 7.0%.
| 2B9S |
| Yes |
| 279 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 194.01 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 137.17 |
| Anjun | Yes | 111 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 72 |
| AJSV | Yes | 64.1 |
| Apalmer55 | No | 59.39 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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