Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 5.3% on 21 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 21 Jul 2026 to 1 Sep 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 5.9% on 24 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Aug 2026. $75.01K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 5:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 21 Jul 2026 – 1 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jul 2026 | 5.3% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Handsome-Belfry | Yes | 2.8K |
| BleatingWeasel | Yes | 1.52K |
| NOIZYUV | Yes | 894.01 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed. Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran. In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mojtaba-khamenei-leave-iran-byptptpt-20260720003505489
| Violet Vector B233 | Yes | 289.95 |
| Matzes | Yes | 222 |
| PaddyAlpha | Yes | 210 |
| Serg001 | Yes | 200 |
| Cescoli | Yes | 200 |
| Decisive-Maggot | Yes | 175.14 |
| Lost-Ovary | Yes | 127.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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