Analytics
Yes is at 7.1%, down 2.4 points from 9.5% when the market opened on 28 Mar 2026.
Across the 189 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 10.5% on 29 Mar 2026 and the lowest 2.8% on 11 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6.7%; a month before, 4.2%.
$2.85K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $267.26K since listing. The order book holds $56.93K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $4.46K bought Yes and $45.63K bought No; the largest was a $4.7K buy of No at 94.0¢.
The largest Yes position is lymphnatic with 39.6K shares; the largest No position is QMG-CORE with 20.9K. Ten wallets hold 67.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 189 points, 28 Mar 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2026 | 9.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 7.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lymphnatic | Yes | 39.62K |
| QMG-CORE | No | 20.93K |
| QMG-SCALAR | No | 20.46K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mohammed-bin-salman-out-as-leader-of-saudi-arabia-by
| Kris-Future |
| Yes |
| 19.4K |
| Unkempt-Rose | Yes | 17.36K |
| DEGENKHAN | No | 15.68K |
| gods-eye | Yes | 9.7K |
| Anon2Anon | Yes | 9.03K |
| archaic | No | 8.32K |
| DFK | No | 7.29K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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