Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 77%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 7 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 7 Nov 2025 to 21 Nov 2025, the highest close was 46.5% on 7 Nov 2025 and the lowest 23% on 10 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 31.5% on 8 Nov 2025. $5.24K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 22, 8:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 7 Nov 2025 – 21 Nov 2025, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2025 | 46.5% |
| 21 Nov 2025 | 23.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| ttimw | Yes | 125.47 |
| Second-Hand-Frontier | Yes | 73.49 |
| Rahl | Yes | 60.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Miss Universe 2025 competition is scheduled to be held in Thailand on November 21, 2025. You can find more information about that here: https://www.missuniverse.com/the-competition-thailand/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the winner of the named event represents a country which has not had an official winning representative at any previously held Miss Universe final competition. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitively cancelled, rescheduled beyond December 31, 2025, or the results otherwise remain unknown by that date, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official results as reported by the Miss Universe Organization.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWzNR6H14cI
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-miss-universe-2025-be-won-by-a-country-that-has-never-won-before
| wtrcolor | Yes | 25 |
| lucasvanderwegen | Yes | 20.2 |
| S888 | Yes | 16 |
| SANYO | Yes | 13.36 |
| OrlandoMoscoso | Yes | 10 |
| lissartter | Yes | 9.42 |
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