Analytics
Yes is at 69%, up 1.5 points from 67.5% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 69% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 38% on 21 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 39% on 18 Oct 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above __?”.
$10.01 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.62K since listing. The order book holds $87.71, with a 24.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 66 trades, $189.85 bought Yes and $184.42 bought No.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 56 shares; the largest No position is molodoyy with 29.
Trading closes on 23 Dec 2026, 62 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 10:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 67.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 69.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AJSV | Yes | 56.12 |
| financegaaaydog | Yes | 39.1 |
| molodoyy | No | 29.32 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micron's DRAM revenue for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-micron-q1-dram-revenue-be-above
| AboveLookUp |
| No |
| 23.75 |
| tiongbu | Yes | 20.1 |
| alborotocrypto | Yes | 20 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | 20 |
| Emerald Falcon 7AE6 | No | 20 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 11.45 |
| hfv | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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