Analytics
Trading ended on 15 Oct 2026 with Yes at 65%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 83 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 67% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 14.5% on 9 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 46.5%; a month before, 39.5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 45.5% on 19 Oct 2026.
It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis”.
$972.04 has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is ABC12345654321 with 153 shares; the largest No position is Violet Maven 063C with 164.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 1:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 83 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 24.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 65.0% |
38 more markets, none above 49.5%.
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violet Maven 063C | No | 164.48 |
| ABC12345654321 | Yes | 153.09 |
| MambaKobe | No | 149.9 |
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners of the four quarterfinal games). A team counts as reaching the semifinals if it is scheduled to play in a semifinal game by winning its quarterfinal game. If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the semifinal round is not played by January 28, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-cfb-playoffs-team-to-make-semis-20260803204732734
| pootytherewardfarmer |
| No |
| 80 |
| Slow-Exhibit | Yes | 79.3 |
| limearbs | Yes | 72 |
| tylerpredict | Yes | 71.21 |
| Stupendous-Donut | Yes | 20 |
| Worse-Habitat | Yes | 10.61 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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